USD/CHF: Double-Top at 1.0900 or Pullback to Upper Trendline of a Broken Symmetrical Triangle?

Saturday, May 1, 2010

USD/CHF: Double-Top at 1.0900 or Pullback to Upper Trendline of a Broken Symmetrical Triangle?

(Click on the Daly chart to enlarge it)

The Swiss Franc´s Symmetrical triangle finally worked, unleashing the Bulls.
But the Double-Top formed at 1.0900 with an important Bearish Divergence at MACD is a concern.
Prices apparently did already the expected pullback to the Upper Trendline of this broken Bullish Symmetrical Triangle, at 1.0710 price area. If Bulls are really in control, prices aren´t supposed to get back to this 1.0710 level.
My strategy is to enter LONG at 1.0750 as support, and above the following resistances: 1.0786 / 1.0805 / 1.0850.
If the 1-Hour candles start closing below 1.0750 and specially 1.0710 the current Bullish Momentum might be jeopardized.

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Saturday, May 1, 2010

USD/CHF: Double-Top at 1.0900 or Pullback to Upper Trendline of a Broken Symmetrical Triangle?

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