EUR/USD: Bottom of Bullish Channel will Hold The Bears?

Sunday, October 4, 2009

EUR/USD: Bottom of Bullish Channel will Hold The Bears?

(Click on the Daily chart to enlarge it)

Prices last Friday Oct 02nd hit the lower trendline of a major Bullish Channel, strongly favouring the bulls.
My strategy is to enter LONG at any candlestick pattern showing support levels above 1.4575 (Last friday´s close), and will add lots at the break of 1.4648 (Last friday´s high) and 1.4674.
I will watch very closely the main resistance levels 1.4721 and 1.4771, and will enter SHORT at any main Bearish Candlestick patterns at these levels. I´ll only enter LONG above these levels if they got broken up consistenly and prices do a pullback to them (resistance becoming support...).
If a Bearish trend resumes, I will enter SHORT at the break of 1.4515 (Oct 01st´ Close and Oct 02nd´s Open), and I´ll add lost at the break of 1.4481 (last friday´s low) and 1.4447.

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Sunday, October 4, 2009

EUR/USD: Bottom of Bullish Channel will Hold The Bears?

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6 Ps: Patience, Perseverance, Passion, Practice, Pull (The Trigger), Paperwork