EUR/JPY: Break of MACD Symmetrical Triangle on 30-Minute Chart will Resume Bearish?

Sunday, February 3, 2008

EUR/JPY: Break of MACD Symmetrical Triangle on 30-Minute Chart will Resume Bearish?

30-Minute Chart - Big Picture

30-Minute Chart - Closed-up

(CLICK ON THE CHART TO ENLARGE IT)
# Dailies favour bearish specially below 5EMA at 157.73 which is very close to the 38,20% fibo at 157.70. Last Friday´s close at 157.64 below price zone 157.70 strongly favours the short.
# But 30-minute chart shows an interesting symmetrical triangle at MACD (blue lines). A false breakout at top 159.15 (see yellow circle) on Jan 30th favours the short side. Market is quite choppy. Only a break of prices symmetrical triangle (see blue lines) will indicate to where the EUR/JPY is heading to this week. So an extra dose of patience is required to trade it. My entry points are:
## SELL break 157.50 STOP 157.80 1st LIMIT at 157.15, 2nd at 156.75 and 3rd at 156.00
## BUY break 158.00 STOP 157.80 1st LIMIT at 158.20, 2nd at 158.55, 3rd at 158.87 and 4th at 159.15

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Sunday, February 3, 2008

EUR/JPY: Break of MACD Symmetrical Triangle on 30-Minute Chart will Resume Bearish?

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