EUR/JPY: Inverted Hammer on Jan 18th will Push it to 158.60?

Sunday, January 20, 2008

EUR/JPY: Inverted Hammer on Jan 18th will Push it to 158.60?

Daily Chart

04-Hour Chart

30-Minute Chart

(CLICK ON THE CHART TO ENLARGE IT)
Reasons for a Bullish move:
# Dailies: MACD is still building momentum for the bearish but we have the RSI kicking up to reach its Moving Average; the Inverted Hammer pattern and; prices away from the 6EMA.
# 04-Hour: MACD and RSI bullish divergences; 6EMA already turning up.
# 30-Minute: Major tripple bullish divergence on MACD and RSI since Jan 15th (see blue trendline on indicators); ADX kicked down already with DMI+ turning up.
Points are:
BUY break 156.30 with STOP 155.95 and 1st LIMIT 157.00. Close half position, move STOP to 156.50 and LIMIT 158.00.
If the bearish resumes, SELL break 155.00 with tight 20-pip stop and LIMIT 153.70.

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Sunday, January 20, 2008

EUR/JPY: Inverted Hammer on Jan 18th will Push it to 158.60?

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