EUR/JPY: Bounce back/Retracement From 162.58?

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

EUR/JPY: Bounce back/Retracement From 162.58?

04-HOUR CHART

30-MINUTE CHART

(CLICK ON THE CHART TO ENLARGE IT)
50 basis-point reduction on Fed´s rate today to 4.75 propelled EUR/JPY to 162.58 highs. Question is: will we see a bounce back/retracement from this rally?
# Dailies are bullish but finding resistance at top of a bullish channel (see purple line);
# 04-Hour chart has a considerable moving average ribbon on all 3 M.A.´s: 6, 24 and 62 periods. That calls for a bounce back;
# 30-minute chart indicators favour a bouce back.
Points are:
Sell break 162.00 with 20-pip stop and 1st target 161.70 (23% fibo 158.75 - 162.58), 2nd target at 161.45 and 3rd target at 161.15 (38% same fibo. See it on the 30-minute chart)

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Tuesday, September 18, 2007

EUR/JPY: Bounce back/Retracement From 162.58?

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