EUR/JPY: Double-Top on 4thWave Will Trigger the 5th one?

Sunday, August 26, 2007

EUR/JPY: Double-Top on 4thWave Will Trigger the 5th one?

4-HOUR CHART

30-MINUTE CHART

(CLICK ON THE CHART TO ENLARGE IT)
5th wave didn´t resume after 4th wave formation at 61.80% fibo (see 4-hour chart). Prices just rallied again to this same price level (159.35, which is exactly 61,80% yellow fibo on 4-hour chart). Daily oscillators do favour the long side but we do have to take this Elliot Wave counting into account, because it´s been working well since the 1st wave. So watch for false breakouts. The 30-minute chart does favour the bears. So points are:
SHORT break 159.00 or failure 159,35. Add lots at break 158.60 and 158.40. Targets 157.80 and 156.70
If I´m wrong and the 4th wave gets an even higher projection, the go for the long side at: consisten break at 159.40 with tight stop (15 to 20 pips) and target 159.80

TRADING STYLE

Even though we are considered Day-Traders, our trading sometimes requires different styles, according to the patterns and/or how the market moves during our trading sessions. All strategies presented in all posts below are for Positioning but, depending on how markets behave, our style can change so that we can capture good trading opportunities......

Our Trading Styles are discriminated as below:

1) Scalping: Short-term trades, usually betwen 2 to 15 minutes, with stops lower than 8 pips, targeting 15 pips. Generally our Scalping trades apply very low stops (5 pips) aiming quick surges in prices of around 10 pips, in a matter of a very few minutes.................................................................................................
2) Day-Trading: this is our main Trading Style where we dedicate most of our time. Their lenght is usually betwen 10 to 60 minutes, sometimes for more than 2 hours, with stops between 10 and 20 pips and targets between 20 and 60 pips...
3) Positioning: Long-Term trades based on Daily and 4-Hour charts, with stops between 20 and 40 pips, targeting minimum 60 pips. Most of these trades have Open Limits......................................................

Money Management

This is a crucial aspect of our trading, considering the different styles we apply to our trading Sessions. As the Positioning Style requires larger stops (usually the double of our Day-Trading Style), their lot size is lower than usual, generally 50% of our standard lot size. As the Scalping style requires lower stops (usually half of our Day-Trading style), their lot size is usually 150% of our standard lot size. For instance: let´s suppose that our current standard lot size is 200K. For Scalping trades the lot size will be 300K and for Positioning it will be 100K...................................

Daily FOREX Analysis - Brasil

Sunday, August 26, 2007

EUR/JPY: Double-Top on 4thWave Will Trigger the 5th one?

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